MLB / mlb / live
CIN 3 / LAD 6CINCincinnati Reds44%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers56%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterChase BurnsProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
LADHome starterEmmet SheehanProbable
CIN44%ML +150
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
LAD56%ML -179
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Chase BurnsCIN starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -142 fanduel / U +117 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.558%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.558%over
O 5.541%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Emmet SheehanLAD starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 10 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +109 betonlineag / U -135 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 6.528%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.559%over
O 5.542%over
O 6.528%over
O 7.517%over
O 8.59%over
O 9.55%over
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+150 / -179CIN / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total