NHL
Moneyline
Accuracy59.5%
Brier0.225
Log loss0.638
195 samples2026-10-10 to 2026-11-06
50%-60%53.4%118
60%-70%56.9%51
70%-100%92.3%26
Performance and model status
Audited results, not profit claims.
sharps.gg publishes accuracy, Brier score, log loss, probability buckets, and freshness from auditable result tables. ROI, units, edge, and EV stay blank until odds alignment and grading rules are fully audited.
MLB
Moneyline
Accuracy62.5%
Brier0.244
Log loss0.682
16 samples2026-10-10 to 2026-10-28
50%-60%62.5%16
Soccer
1X2
Accuracy57.0%
Brier0.562
Log loss0.950
258 samples2026-10-10 to 2026-11-06
34%-45%45.5%88
45%-55%55.0%80
55%-100%70.0%90
How To Read The Metrics
Accuracy
Share of graded picks where the selected outcome matched the final result.
Brier score
Probability error for calibrated predictions. Lower is better, and sample size matters.
Log loss
Penalty for confident misses. Lower is better; it rewards probabilities that stay honest.
Probability buckets
Grouped outcomes by selected-pick probability so calibration can be inspected instead of assumed.
Held For Audit
ROI and units
Blank until staking assumptions, odds timestamps, push handling, and grading rules are consistent.
Edge and EV
Held until every market maps cleanly from model outcome to comparable sportsbook price.
Market-implied probability
Live only for eligible MLB moneyline rows; NHL and Soccer no-vig fields remain held.