MLB / mlb / live
TOR 4 / KCR 3TORToronto Blue Jays47%
KCRKansas City Royals53%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterMax ScherzerConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline53%Model 20260831_auto
KCRHome starterSeth LugoConfirmed
TOR47%ML -108
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
KCR53%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total10.0
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Max ScherzerTOR starter / away
Projected K3.6Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -110 fanatics / U -105 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 3.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.569%under
O 3.549%under
O 4.530%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Seth LugoKCR starter / home
Projected K3.7Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +112 fanduel / U -138 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%under
O 2.571%under
O 3.551%under
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-108 / -110TOR / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-161)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total