MLB / mlb / live
MIN 6 / CHW 4MINMinnesota Twins46%
CHWChicago White Sox54%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterTaj BradleyConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline54%Model 20260831_auto
CHWHome starterAnthony KayConfirmed
MIN46%ML +104
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CHW54%ML -123
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Taj BradleyMIN starter / away
Projected K5.6Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +116 draftkings / U -130 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 6.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.549%over
O 6.534%under
O 7.521%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Anthony KayCHW starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -147 betonlineag / U +120 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 3.566%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.566%under
O 4.548%under
O 5.531%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+104 / -123MIN / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -6 / U -116
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total