MLB / mlb / live
CLE 9 / BAL 5CLECleveland Guardians43%
BALBaltimore Orioles57%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterTanner BibeeConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline57%Model 20260907_auto
BALHome starterBrandon YoungConfirmed
CLE43%ML +102
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
BAL57%ML -120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.7
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tanner BibeeCLE starter / away
Projected K5.0
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 betonlineag / U -150 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 5.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.587%
O 3.573%
O 4.556%
O 5.539%
O 6.525%
O 7.515%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Brandon YoungBAL starter / home
Projected K4.8
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 betonlineag / U +119 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.570%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.570%
O 4.552%
O 5.536%
O 6.522%
O 7.512%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+102 / -120CLE / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -116
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total