MLB / mlb / live
scheduledKCRKansas City Royals47%
BALBaltimore Orioles53%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterNoah CameronProbable
Model pickBAL moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
BALHome starterKyle BradishProbable
KCR47%ML +133
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
BAL53%ML -158
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Noah CameronKCR starter / away
Projected K5.1
Best price at 5.55.5O +120 betmgm / U -142 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.587%
O 3.574%
O 4.557%
O 5.540%
O 6.526%
O 7.515%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Kyle BradishBAL starter / home
Projected K5.4
Best price at 5.55.5O +112 fanduel / U -136 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.578%
O 4.562%
O 5.545%
O 6.531%
O 7.519%
O 8.511%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+133 / -158KCR / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total