MLB / mlb / live
LAA 3 / WSN 4LAALos Angeles Angels42%
WSNWashington Nationals58%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterYusei KikuchiConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline58%Model 20260907_auto
WSNHome starterCade CavalliConfirmed
LAA42%ML +132
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
WSN58%ML -157
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Yusei KikuchiLAA starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +110 betonlineag / U -124 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.526%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%over
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Cade CavalliWSN starter / home
Projected K7.3Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -146 fanduel / U +120 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 6.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.592%over
O 4.584%over
O 5.572%over
O 6.559%over
O 7.545%over
O 8.532%over
O 9.522%under
O 10.514%under
O 11.58%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+132 / -157LAA / WSN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total