MLB / mlb / live
MIA 2 / WSN 9MIAMiami Marlins51%
WSNWashington Nationals49%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterEury PérezConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline51%Model 20260824_auto
WSNHome starterJackson KentConfirmed
MIA51%ML -142
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
WSN49%ML +120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Eury PérezMIA starter / away
Projected K5.5Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -111 fanduel / U +100 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 5.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%over
O 4.563%over
O 5.546%under
O 6.531%under
O 7.520%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Jackson KentWSN starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -155 betmgm / U +134 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 3.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%under
O 4.541%under
O 5.525%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-142 / +120MIA / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total