MLB / mlb / live
COL 13 / WSN 1COLColorado Rockies45%
WSNWashington Nationals55%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterTanner GordonConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline55%Model 20260824_auto
WSNHome starterMatt WaldronConfirmed
COL45%ML +116
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
WSN55%ML -139
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.7
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tanner GordonCOL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -108 betonlineag / U +106 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.534%over
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Matt WaldronWSN starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%under
O 2.572%under
O 3.552%under
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+116 / -139COL / WSN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -113
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total