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COL 3 / WSN 13
COLColorado Rockies41%
WSNWashington Nationals59%

at Nationals Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
COLAway starterRyan FeltnerConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline59%Model 20260824_auto
WSNHome starterCade CavalliConfirmed
COL41%ML +172
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
WSN59%ML -204

Projection Context

Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.3
Market total8.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Ryan FeltnerCOL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -115 betonlineag / U -104 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.554%over
O 4.535%over
O 5.520%over
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.

Cade CavalliWSN starter / home
Projected K6.3Actual 7 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -104 fanduel / U -116 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 6.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.586%over
O 4.574%over
O 5.559%over
O 6.544%over
O 7.531%under
O 8.520%under
O 9.512%under
O 10.57%under
O 11.54%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+172 / -204COL / WSN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total