MLB / mlb / live
CIN 1 / WSN 7CINCincinnati Reds43%
WSNWashington Nationals57%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterBrady SingerConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline57%Model 20260803_auto
WSNHome starterBrad LordConfirmed
CIN43%ML -103
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
WSN57%ML -115
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Brady SingerCIN starter / away
Projected K5.4Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -103 betonlineag / U -117 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.562%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%under
O 4.562%under
O 5.546%under
O 6.531%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Brad LordWSN starter / home
Projected K3.7Actual 4 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-103 / -115CIN / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-185)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total