MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTORToronto Blue Jays45%
WSNWashington Nationals55%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterShane BieberProbable
Model pickWSN moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
WSNHome starterCade CavalliProbable
TOR45%ML +118
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
WSN55%ML -140
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Shane BieberTOR starter / away
Projected K4.1
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.576%
O 3.558%
O 4.539%
O 5.523%
O 6.513%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Cade CavalliWSN starter / home
Projected K4.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.586%
O 3.571%
O 4.554%
O 5.537%
O 6.523%
O 7.514%
O 8.57%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+118 / -140TOR / WSN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total