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MLB / mlb / live

SDP 2 / WSN 4
SDPSan Diego Padres46%
WSNWashington Nationals54%

at Nationals Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
SDPAway starterGriffin Canning
Model pickWSN moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
WSNHome starterZack Littell
SDP46%ML -114
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
WSN54%ML -105

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time5.3 pts

Missing pitcher stats (both ERA, IP, K/9 null) makes evaluation impossible. Model sees coin flip (53.5% vs market 48.3%). SDP's 2.9 RPG with .547 OPS is historically weak but without pitcher context I cannot justify disagreeing with the tight spread. Pass on both side and total.

Projection Context

Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus-114 / -105SDP / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total