MLB / mlb / live
NYM 2 / WSN 1NYMNew York Mets42%
WSNWashington Nationals58%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterDavid Peterson
Model pickWSN moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
WSNHome starterCade Cavalli
NYM42%ML -112
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
WSN58%ML -105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-112 / -105NYM / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-172)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total