MLB / mlb / live
NYM 4 / WSN 8NYMNew York Mets53%
WSNWashington Nationals47%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterZach Thornton
Model pickNYM moneyline53%Model 20260414_1
WSNHome starterZack Littell
NYM53%ML -125
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
WSN47%ML +105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.2
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-125 / +105NYM / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -104 / U -118
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total