MLB / mlb / live
SFG 0 / WSN 3SFGSan Francisco Giants43%
WSNWashington Nationals57%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterRobbie Ray
Model pickWSN moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
WSNHome starterPJ Poulin
SFG43%ML -154
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability42%Selected moneyline pick
WSN57%ML +130
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-154 / +130SFG / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O +100 / U -120
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total