MLB / mlb / live
CIN 5 / TOR 1CINCincinnati Reds41%
TORToronto Blue Jays59%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterRhett LowderConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline59%Model 20260921_auto
TORHome starterTrey YesavageConfirmed
CIN41%ML +137
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
TOR59%ML -165
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.6
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Rhett LowderCIN starter / away
Projected K3.4Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +128 betonlineag / U -158 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%over
O 2.565%under
O 3.544%under
O 4.526%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Trey YesavageTOR starter / home
Projected K5.5Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -121 draftkings / U -104 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.578%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%under
O 4.563%under
O 5.546%under
O 6.531%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+137 / -165CIN / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -108 / U -114
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total