MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCINCincinnati Reds41%
TORToronto Blue Jays59%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterNick LodoloProbable
Model pickTOR moneyline59%Model 20260921_auto
TORHome starterJosé SorianoProbable
CIN41%ML +122
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
TOR59%ML -150
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.6
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Nick LodoloCIN starter / away
Projected K3.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.572%
O 3.552%
O 4.533%
O 5.519%
O 6.510%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+122 / -150CIN / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total