MLB / mlb / live
BAL 7 / TOR 4BALBaltimore Orioles44%
TORToronto Blue Jays56%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterChris BassittConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
TORHome starterMax ScherzerConfirmed
BAL44%ML +114
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
TOR56%ML -134
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Chris BassittBAL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +107 betonlineag / U -118 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.533%over
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Max ScherzerTOR starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 betonlineag / U -150 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%under
O 4.550%under
O 5.534%under
O 6.521%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+114 / -134BAL / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -2
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total