MLB / mlb / live
BAL 3 / TOR 7BALBaltimore Orioles44%
TORToronto Blue Jays56%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterKyle BradishConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
TORHome starterSpencer MilesConfirmed
BAL44%ML +116
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
TOR56%ML -136
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.5
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle BradishBAL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -120 bovada / U +117 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%under
O 3.554%under
O 4.535%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Spencer MilesTOR starter / home
Projected K3.0Actual 5 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%over
O 2.558%over
O 3.536%over
O 4.520%over
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+116 / -136BAL / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+157)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -111 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total