MLB / mlb / live
KCR 0 / TOR 3KCRKansas City Royals46%
TORToronto Blue Jays54%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterRandy DobnakConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline54%Model 20260824_auto
TORHome starterSpencer MilesConfirmed
KCR46%ML +138
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
TOR54%ML -160
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Randy DobnakKCR starter / away
Projected K3.5Actual 5 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -111 fanduel / U -103 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 2.567%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.567%over
O 3.545%over
O 4.527%over
O 5.514%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Spencer MilesTOR starter / home
Projected K2.7Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.574%under
O 2.549%under
O 3.528%under
O 4.514%under
O 5.56%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+138 / -160KCR / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -106 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total