MLB / mlb / live
BOS 3 / TOR 5BOSBoston Red Sox58%
TORToronto Blue Jays42%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterPatrick SandovalConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline58%Model 20260810_auto
TORHome starterDylan CeaseConfirmed
BOS58%ML +117
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
TOR42%ML -135
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total8.9
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +106 fanduel / U -123 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.539%under
O 5.523%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / home
Projected K8.6Actual 7 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O -147 draftkings / U +120 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 7.562%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%over
O 2.599%over
O 3.596%over
O 4.592%over
O 5.584%over
O 6.574%over
O 7.562%under
O 8.549%under
O 9.537%under
O 10.526%under
O 11.518%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+117 / -135BOS / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O +100 / U -120
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total