MLB / mlb / live
STL 1 / TOR 5STLSt. Louis Cardinals47%
TORToronto Blue Jays53%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterQuinn MathewsConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline53%Model 20260727_auto
TORHome starterKevin GausmanConfirmed
STL47%ML +141
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
TOR53%ML -170
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Quinn MathewsSTL starter / awayThin data
Projected K3.0Actual 3 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.579%over
O 2.557%over
O 3.535%under
O 4.519%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Kevin GausmanTOR starter / home
Projected K5.5Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +115 fanatics / U -137 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.563%under
O 5.547%under
O 6.532%under
O 7.520%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+141 / -170STL / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+126)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total