MLB / mlb / live
STL 1 / TOR 3STLSt. Louis Cardinals45%
TORToronto Blue Jays55%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterKyle LeahyConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
TORHome starterDylan CeaseConfirmed
STL45%ML +162
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
TOR55%ML -195
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle LeahySTL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -163 draftkings / U +130 bovada4 books at this line
Model over 3.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.555%under
O 4.536%under
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / home
Projected K8.4Actual 7 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O -125 fanatics / U +112 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 7.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%over
O 2.599%over
O 3.596%over
O 4.591%over
O 5.582%over
O 6.572%over
O 7.559%under
O 8.546%under
O 9.534%under
O 10.524%under
O 11.516%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+162 / -195STL / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+109)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total