MLB / mlb / live
TBR 4 / TOR 2TBRTampa Bay Rays42%
TORToronto Blue Jays58%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterGriffin JaxConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline58%Model 20260720_auto
TORHome starterBraydon FisherConfirmed
TBR42%ML -110
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
TOR58%ML -108
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.8
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Griffin JaxTBR starter / away
Projected K4.4Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 betonlineag / U -110 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.545%over
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Braydon FisherTOR starter / home
Projected K2.0Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.559%under
O 2.533%under
O 3.515%under
O 4.56%under
O 5.52%under
O 6.51%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-110 / -108TBR / TOR moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -114 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total