MLB / mlb / live
TBR 1 / TOR 3TBRTampa Bay Rays45%
TORToronto Blue Jays55%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterCasey LeguminaConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
TORHome starterShane BieberConfirmed
TBR45%ML -113
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
TOR55%ML -105
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Casey LeguminaTBR starter / away
Projected K1.8Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.552%over
O 2.526%under
O 3.511%under
O 4.54%under
O 5.51%under
O 6.50%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Shane BieberTOR starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +132 betonlineag / U -150 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%under
O 4.541%under
O 5.525%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-113 / -105TBR / TOR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-175)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total