MLB / mlb / live
CHW 12 / TOR 4CHWChicago White Sox44%
TORToronto Blue Jays56%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterAnthony KayConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline56%Model 20260713_auto
TORHome starterSpencer MilesConfirmed
CHW44%ML +112
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
TOR56%ML -136
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Anthony KayCHW starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +105 bovada / U -115 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 3.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.532%over
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Spencer MilesTOR starter / home
Projected K3.2Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -128 fanduel / U +106 draftkings3 books at this line
Model over 3.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%over
O 2.562%over
O 3.540%over
O 4.523%under
O 5.511%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+112 / -136CHW / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total