MLB / mlb / live
NYM 3 / TOR 9NYMNew York Mets47%
TORToronto Blue Jays53%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline53%Model 20260629_auto
TORHome starterBraydon FisherConfirmed
NYM47%ML -105
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
TOR53%ML -113
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Freddy PeraltaNYM starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -130 bovada / U +108 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Braydon FisherTOR starter / home
Projected K2.5Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.571%under
O 2.546%under
O 3.525%under
O 4.512%under
O 5.55%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-105 / -113NYM / TOR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-185)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total