MLB / mlb / live
scheduledNYMNew York Mets57%
TEXTexas Rangers43%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterSean ManaeaProbable
Model pickNYM moneyline57%Model 20260921_auto
TEXHome starterMacKenzie GoreProbable
NYM57%ML +120
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability44%Selected moneyline pick
TEX43%ML -144
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Sean ManaeaNYM starter / away
Projected K4.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.566%
O 4.548%
O 5.531%
O 6.519%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / home
Projected K4.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.584%
O 3.569%
O 4.551%
O 5.534%
O 6.521%
O 7.512%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+120 / -144NYM / TEX moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML25 run line23 total