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OAK 5 / TEX 8
OAKOakland Athletics33%
TEXTexas Rangers67%

at Globe Life Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
OAKAway starterBrady BassoConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline67%Model 20260831_auto
TEXHome starterMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
OAK33%ML +180
Base model probability67%Moneyline only
TEX67%ML -215

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#1
Total lean · analyst-timeUnder
Model-market gap · analyst-time2.7 pts

Model (66.6%) and market (63.9%) agree on TEX; Gore's 9.94 K/9 over 149.1 IP is a real comparison over Basso, who has only 28 IP across 8 starts. The 9.06 model total sits 1.5+ runs above the 7.5 line and is hard to justify with OAK carrying a .512 OPS, even at a 1.04 park. Lean under.

total far from market

Projection Context

Projected margin1.5
Projected total8.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Brady BassoOAK starter / away
Projected K2.8Actual 2 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.576%over
O 2.553%under
O 3.531%under
O 4.516%under
O 5.57%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.

MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / home
Projected K6.1Actual 4 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +110 betonlineag / U -125 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 6.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.585%over
O 4.572%under
O 5.557%under
O 6.542%under
O 7.528%under
O 8.518%under
O 9.511%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+180 / -215OAK / TEX moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total