MLB / mlb / live
LAA 3 / TEX 5LAALos Angeles Angels48%
TEXTexas Rangers52%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterYusei KikuchiConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline52%Model 20260817_auto
TEXHome starterCal QuantrillConfirmed
LAA48%ML +140
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
TEX52%ML -162
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Yusei KikuchiLAA starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -118 betmgm / U +124 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 4.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.534%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Cal QuantrillTEX starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -140 fanatics / U +134 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%over
O 4.541%over
O 5.525%over
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+140 / -162LAA / TEX moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -108 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total