MLB / mlb / live
LAA 3 / TEX 0LAALos Angeles Angels44%
TEXTexas Rangers56%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterRyan JohnsonConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline56%Model 20260817_auto
TEXHome starterCody BradfordConfirmed
LAA44%ML +145
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
TEX56%ML -172
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -125 fanatics / U +108 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%under
O 4.541%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Cody BradfordTEX starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +124 fanduel / U -145 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%under
O 4.558%under
O 5.541%under
O 6.527%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+145 / -172LAA / TEX moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -114 / U -106
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total