MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSFGSan Francisco Giants43%
TEXTexas Rangers57%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterBlade TidwellProbable
Model pickTEX moneyline57%Model 20260803_auto
TEXHome starterMacKenzie GoreProbable
SFG43%ML +165
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability64%Selected moneyline pick
TEX57%ML -198
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Blade TidwellSFG starter / away
Projected K3.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%
O 2.566%
O 3.545%
O 4.527%
O 5.514%
O 6.57%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / home
Projected K5.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.579%
O 4.564%
O 5.547%
O 6.532%
O 7.520%
O 8.512%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+165 / -198SFG / TEX moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U +100
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total