MLB / mlb / live
DET 3 / TEX 0DETDetroit Tigers56%
TEXTexas Rangers44%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterJack FlahertyConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline56%Model 20260629_auto
TEXHome starterCal QuantrillConfirmed
DET56%ML -125
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
TEX44%ML +105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jack FlahertyDET starter / away
Projected K5.4Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +100 betrivers / U -111 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 5.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%over
O 4.562%over
O 5.546%under
O 6.531%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Cal QuantrillTEX starter / home
Projected K3.4Actual 2 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%under
O 3.544%under
O 4.526%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-125 / +105DET / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total