MLB / mlb / live
CHW 6 / TBR 1CHWChicago White Sox46%
TBRTampa Bay Rays54%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterErick FeddeConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
TBRHome starterNick MartinezConfirmed
CHW46%ML +114
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
TBR54%ML -137
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Erick FeddeCHW starter / away
Projected K3.3Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +122 fanduel / U -144 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.583%over
O 2.563%over
O 3.541%over
O 4.523%over
O 5.512%over
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Nick MartinezTBR starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +115 betonlineag / U -130 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%under
O 3.560%under
O 4.541%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+114 / -137CHW / TBR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -118
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total