MLB / mlb / live
SEA 8 / TBR 2SEASeattle Mariners40%
TBRTampa Bay Rays60%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterEmerson HancockConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline60%Model 20260706_auto
TBRHome starterIan SeymourConfirmed
SEA40%ML +128
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
TBR60%ML -152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.6
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Emerson HancockSEA starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +134 betonlineag / U -160 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 4.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%under
O 3.551%under
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Ian SeymourTBR starter / home
Projected K5.6Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -139 betrivers / U +130 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%under
O 4.565%under
O 5.548%under
O 6.533%under
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+128 / -152SEA / TBR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -114
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total