MLB / mlb / live
SEA 1 / TBR 6SEASeattle Mariners49%
TBRTampa Bay Rays51%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLogan GilbertConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline51%Model 20260706_auto
TBRHome starterGriffin JaxConfirmed
SEA49%ML -106
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
TBR51%ML -112
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.9
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Logan GilbertSEA starter / away
Projected K5.8Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -120 betmgm / U -102 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 5.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.581%over
O 4.567%over
O 5.551%under
O 6.536%under
O 7.523%under
O 8.514%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Griffin JaxTBR starter / home
Projected K5.3Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -124 betrivers / U +110 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 5.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%under
O 4.560%under
O 5.543%under
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-106 / -112SEA / TBR moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -119 / U -101
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total