MLB / mlb / live
CHW 1 / STL 3CHWChicago White Sox54%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals46%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterDavid SandlinConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline54%Model 20260907_auto
STLHome starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
CHW54%ML -118
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
STL46%ML +101
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
David SandlinCHW starter / away
Projected K3.0Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -165 draftkings / U +129 draftkings3 books at this line
Model over 3.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%over
O 2.558%over
O 3.536%over
O 4.520%over
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Michael McGreevySTL starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -155 betmgm / U +140 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 3.567%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.532%over
O 6.519%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-118 / +101CHW / STL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total