MLB / mlb / live
COL 2 / STL 3COLColorado Rockies44%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals56%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterRyan FeltnerConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline56%Model 20260803_auto
STLHome starterKyle LeahyConfirmed
COL44%ML +145
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
STL56%ML -171
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan FeltnerCOL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +116 betrivers / U -135 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%under
O 3.552%under
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Kyle LeahySTL starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 8 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -115 bovada / U -105 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.545%over
O 5.529%over
O 6.517%over
O 7.59%over
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+145 / -171COL / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total