MLB / mlb / live
CHC 7 / STL 3CHCChicago Cubs51%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals49%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterDavid PetersonConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
STLHome starterMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
CHC51%ML -121
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
STL49%ML +102
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.8
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
David PetersonCHC starter / away
Projected K3.6Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +121 draftkings / U -139 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 3.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.569%over
O 3.548%under
O 4.530%under
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Matthew LiberatoreSTL starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -160 betmgm / U +120 betmgm1 book at this line
Model over 3.571%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.554%over
O 5.537%under
O 6.523%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-121 / +102CHC / STL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-151)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O +100 / U -120
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total