MLB / mlb / live
CIN 5 / STL 3CINCincinnati Reds45%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals55%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterAndrew AbbottConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
STLHome starterKyle LeahyConfirmed
CIN45%ML +112
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
STL55%ML -134
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Andrew AbbottCIN starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -143 betrivers / U +134 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.566%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%under
O 5.531%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Kyle LeahySTL starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 betrivers / U -120 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.532%over
O 6.519%over
O 7.511%over
O 8.55%over
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+112 / -134CIN / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total