MLB / mlb / live
MIA 4 / STL 0MIAMiami Marlins41%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals59%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterMax MeyerConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline59%Model 20260622_auto
STLHome starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
MIA41%ML -110
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
STL59%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Max MeyerMIA starter / away
Projected K5.5Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +110 betonlineag / U -135 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 5.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.563%over
O 5.547%under
O 6.532%under
O 7.520%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Michael McGreevySTL starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -108 fanduel / U -105 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%over
O 4.537%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -108MIA / STL moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-149)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total