MLB / mlb / live
LAA 3 / SEA 7LAALos Angeles Angels41%
SEASeattle Mariners59%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterYusei KikuchiConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline59%Model 20260921_auto
SEAHome starterLogan GilbertConfirmed
LAA41%ML +140
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
SEA59%ML -166
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total7.9
Market total6.8
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Yusei KikuchiLAA starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +120 betmgm / U -144 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 5.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%over
O 5.533%over
O 6.520%over
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Logan GilbertSEA starter / home
Projected K7.5Actual 8 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +113 draftkings / U -125 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 7.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.593%over
O 4.585%over
O 5.574%over
O 6.560%over
O 7.547%over
O 8.534%under
O 9.523%under
O 10.515%under
O 11.59%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+140 / -166LAA / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context6.8O -120 / U -6
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total