MLB / mlb / live
scheduledHOUHouston Astros39%
SEASeattle Mariners61%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterEthan PeckoProbable
Model pickSEA moneyline61%Model 20260921_auto
SEAHome starterGeorge KirbyProbable
HOU39%ML +120
Base model probability61%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
SEA61%ML -145
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total8.6
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Ethan PeckoHOU starter / away
Projected K3.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%
O 2.570%
O 3.549%
O 4.530%
O 5.517%
O 6.58%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
George KirbySEA starter / home
Projected K4.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.570%
O 4.552%
O 5.535%
O 6.522%
O 7.512%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+120 / -145HOU / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+143)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -108 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total