MLB / mlb / live
scheduledHOUHouston Astros36%
SEASeattle Mariners64%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterCristian JavierProbable
Model pickSEA moneyline64%Model 20260921_auto
SEAHome starterLogan GilbertProbable
HOU36%ML +122
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
SEA64%ML -147
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total8.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Cristian JavierHOU starter / away
Projected K4.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.567%
O 4.549%
O 5.532%
O 6.519%
O 7.511%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Logan GilbertSEA starter / home
Projected K6.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.595%
O 3.588%
O 4.577%
O 5.563%
O 6.548%
O 7.534%
O 8.523%
O 9.514%
O 10.58%
O 11.55%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+122 / -147HOU / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+143)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML25 run line23 total