MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMINMinnesota Twins54%
SEASeattle Mariners46%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterZebby MatthewsProbable
Model pickMIN moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
SEAHome starterBryce MillerProbable
MIN54%ML +155
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability38%Selected moneyline pick
SEA46%ML -186
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / away
Projected K4.6
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.567%
O 4.549%
O 5.532%
O 6.519%
O 7.511%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Bryce MillerSEA starter / home
Projected K5.6
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.591%
O 3.579%
O 4.564%
O 5.548%
O 6.533%
O 7.521%
O 8.512%
O 9.57%
O 10.53%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+155 / -186MIN / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -114 / U -114
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total