MLB / mlb / live
SFG 7 / SEA 0SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
SEASeattle Mariners54%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterLanden RouppConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline54%Model 20260713_auto
SEAHome starterBryce MillerConfirmed
SFG46%ML +155
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
SEA54%ML -185
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.7
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Landen RouppSFG starter / away
Projected K5.7Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -105 betmgm / U -107 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%under
O 3.580%under
O 4.566%under
O 5.549%under
O 6.534%under
O 7.522%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Bryce MillerSEA starter / home
Projected K5.4Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -142 fanduel / U +125 fanatics5 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.562%over
O 5.545%over
O 6.530%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+155 / -185SFG / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+124)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total