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SFG 3 / SEA 4
SFGSan Francisco Giants42%
SEASeattle Mariners58%

at T-Mobile Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
SFGAway starterLogan WebbConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline58%Model 20260713_auto
SEAHome starterBryan WooConfirmed
SFG42%ML +135
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
SEA58%ML -162

Projection Context

Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.0
Market total7.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Logan WebbSFG starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +105 betmgm / U -128 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 5.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.552%over
O 5.536%under
O 6.522%under
O 7.512%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.

Bryan WooSEA starter / home
Projected K5.5Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -125 bovada / U +107 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.564%over
O 5.547%over
O 6.532%over
O 7.520%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+135 / -162SFG / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+143)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total