MLB / mlb / live
LAA 3 / SEA 8LAALos Angeles Angels47%
SEASeattle Mariners53%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterJosé SorianoConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline53%Model 20260629_auto
SEAHome starterBryan WooConfirmed
LAA47%ML +158
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability63%Selected moneyline pick
SEA53%ML -190
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.4
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
José SorianoLAA starter / away
Projected K5.6Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -112 fanduel / U -105 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.548%over
O 6.533%over
O 7.521%over
O 8.512%over
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Bryan WooSEA starter / home
Projected K6.4Actual 5 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +118 fanduel / U -130 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 7.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.587%over
O 4.575%over
O 5.561%under
O 6.546%under
O 7.532%under
O 8.521%under
O 9.513%under
O 10.57%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+158 / -190LAA / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -120 / U -102
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total