MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMINMinnesota Twins50%
SFGSan Francisco Giants50%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterTaj BradleyProbable
Model pickMIN moneyline50%Model 20260921_auto
SFGHome starterAnthony MolinaProbable
MIN50%ML -132
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
SFG50%ML +110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.4
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Taj BradleyMIN starter / away
Projected K5.5
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.578%
O 4.562%
O 5.546%
O 6.531%
O 7.519%
O 8.511%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Anthony MolinaSFG starter / home
Projected K3.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.572%
O 3.552%
O 4.533%
O 5.519%
O 6.510%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-132 / +110MIN / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -113 / U -107
31 books30 ML24 run line23 total